Inflation should be Yellen’s concern

Sunday, July 27, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat


Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen remains cool on the idea that inflation in the US is beginning to accelerate. In her semi-annual testimony to the US congress she danced around the subject of inflation, instead sustaining a dovish tone. This makes sense since as long as Yellen rejects the building pressures, and exists only in a US with inflation below the 2% threshold, she can keep policy ultra-accommodating. Yet, the spillover effect of the unhurriedly improving US economy is clearly driving prices higher. The critical concept to understand with the current US recovery is that it will be slow and choppy. Data will not go in one direction but every downside economic surprise does not equal a growth reversal. June core inflation retracted slightly which has allowed the Fed's dovish members to take the high ground. However, inflations three-month pace has will remain an issue as structural drivers remain in place. Headline CPI y/y was steady at 2.1% for a second month, while core CPI y/y fell marginally to 1.9% from 2.0% in May. The underlying trend might be a tad softer then we had anticipated but is still will become increasingly difficult for the Fed to verbally discount.


To check the full forex performance results for 2013 + Q1/2014 ( 18 Months ) and join @Aymanfxsignals contact my Email here ( Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com )

Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat



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Special Offers For All New Traders With @Aymanfxsignals

Friday, July 18, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat


Hello all .

I would like to thank you for joining me on my Blog ( www.aymankhlifat.com ) or Twitter @Aymankkhlifat

Send an email to Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com to check the Full Results (Live Statement - PDF) for the period of ( 2013 + Q1 & Q2 2014 ) - 18 Months Live trading

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The offers from 18 - 22 July 2014




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$AUDJPY Update And Setup

Wednesday, July 16, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat

Check the chart below 












My recommendation :short around 95.20 stop @96.05 targets 94.25 & 93.65


To check the full forex performance results for 2013 + Q1+Q2/2014 and join @Aymanfxsignals contact my Email here ( Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com )


Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat

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$USDCAD Short-Term Trade Setup

Sunday, July 13, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat

Check the chart below 












My recommendation : Buy around 1.0700 stop @1.0645 target @1.0800 / Risk 1.5% of your account .


To check the full forex performance results for 2013 + Q1 + Q2/2014 and join @Aymanfxsignals contact my Email here ( Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com )


Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat



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Another Forex Trading Course (15 July - 15 August 2014)

Thursday, July 10, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat

Hello All .
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( A complete Forex training course to help you learn Forex -  through emails & Skype )

My Forex training course is easy to follow and It's a step-by-step to learn the Fx trading At 4 weeks long ,providing you with everything you need to know to learn Forex and become a successful trader ( Risk and money management, Live Charts with full analysis ,data analysis , technical ..etc )

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I will teach depending on your time , you will mention me about your fav session/days to arrange the lessons & i will provide you a full record of the lessons through my documents ,PDFs ,video and recordings .

Low cost for the course For more info please contact my Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com

You can join the Course + Access to my live signals ( @Aymanfxsignals ) for special offer


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The Weakness In Euro Is Not Over

Saturday, July 5, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat


It is true that since the June meeting the Euro has rather appreciated.However, i see this lack of weakness in the single currency is temporary. Indeed, some investors took profits after the sharp decline since the 8 May peak (at 1.3993) while others may doubt the ECB's ability to achieve its goal of price stability. However, the recent strength in EURUSD has thus far faded near the 38.2% retracement of its May decline (at 1.3690) As a result, from a technical point of view, the recent rise looks like a temporary rebound, which does not invalidate the longer-term prices deteriorations (rising wedge and double-top formation). As a result, i expect further weakness in Euro especially against the British pound and the US dollar, as the respective central banks are expected to be significantly more hawkish than the ECB. In EURGBP, i see a decline towards the strong support area @0.7754 (23/07/2012 low) . In EURUSD, i see downside risks at 1.3450 (from the double-top formation) and 1.3225 (second leg lower after the temporary rebound) . 

Recommendation / EURUSD
Short around 1.3600 : stop @1.3790 , Targets @1.3510 , 1.3450 , 1.3370 And 1.3225











Recommendation / EURGBP
Short around 0.7930 : stop @0.8072 , Targets @0.7880 , 0.7810 And 0.7754












To check the full Forex performance results for 2013 + Q1 , Q2/2014 and join @Aymanfxsignals contact my Email here ( Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com )

Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat

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Crude Oil Chart

Sunday, June 29, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat

On the daily chart, we see the price reversed from the beneath of the channel top line by having a harmonic pattern being formed. As it continues, i am expecting a drop if the bottom of the channel has been broken lower by the price. looking this week to test 103.80/104.
keep in mind : The situation in Iraq is more stable than past week, the city of Tikrit is freed by army today, & Mosel is in hands of Iraq's army 

Target @103.80 stop @106.25














Ayman Khlifat on Twitter @aymankkhlifat
Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com

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S&P500 Fundamental Outlook

Monday, June 23, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat

The reason for the mad rally is still the amount of money being printed by the Fed each month. QE injected 85 billion USD into the banking system after the subprime mortgage crisis when one of the biggest banks went bust, causing other banks to stop lending money to eachother, which in turn meant the liquidity was gone practically overnight.

While I am also very sceptical of the futher rise in SPX and cautious with any shorts I open, until the Fed winds down the monthly bond purchases there's no real reason for major pullbacks. The only thing that could drag it down is if we get a risk off day because of Middle East instability. I was actually expecting the drop last week, considering events in Iraq again adding to the headlines of Ukraine and Russia conflict. But it seems that the FED minutes completely overshadowed this and equity markets once again rose on Yellen's dovish speech. She is an extreme dove and this generally has a very positive effect on equity markets.

Beginning of this year, there was some worry about US recovery when NFP numbers came out much worse than expected, however this has now been proven as the after-effect of very bad weather. Equities are now all chipper after a string of good numbers, proving US economy is actually in much better shape and in pretty stable recovery mode, which is the reason why FED keeps tapering every month.

Right now, there's still no sign of US equities slowing down and with summer volumes kicking in, there's increased risk of volatility because all the moves are easily exaggerated in thin volumes. Investors have started to see SPX as a safe-haven, a risk-free environment.

I am Buying S&P500 again @1952 , Targets @1978 & 1992 with stops @1938 | Also here is my setup on $GBPUSD http://www.aymankhlifat.com/2014/06/market-outlook-and-gbpusd-recommendation.html 


Aymanfxsignals Forex Performance results are updated Now From 1-1-2013 To 20-6-2014 ( 16 Months ) You can send an email to Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com to check the Full Results (Live Statement - PDF).

Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat
Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com

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