Happy Easter from Ayman Khlifat

Friday, April 18, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat


I hope everyone has a fantastic easter and enjoys spending some time off with their loved ones..

To check the full results for @Aymanfxsignals ( 2013 + Q1/2014 ) send an Email to Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com with subject " Fx Results "

You Can join my Live Signals & Trades ( @Aymanfxsignals , SMSs and Skype ) & All traders will get a special offer on sub for 6 or 12 months .


Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat
Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com


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Patience required for long $USDJPY positions

Monday, April 14, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat


     Looking at USD/JPY, it means that a sustainable rise is unlikely in the short-term, at least from the JPY     component. Furthermore, the elevated short JPY positions held by investors leave prices vulnerable to a   reduction of these bets. However, with the key supports at 100.76 (04/02/2014 low, see also the 200      day moving average and the rising (channel) and 99.57 (19/11/2014 low, see also the 50% retracement    from the low at 93.79 to the top at 105.44), I suspect that the USD/JPY is likely to remain trendless until  the BoJ provides signs that its inflation outlook needs to be revised downward. As mentioned above, the   first clue will likely come from a revision of its growth outlook on 30 April.













Aymanfxsignals Forex Performance results are updated Now From 1-1-2013 To 4-4-2014 ( 15 Months ).
You can send an email to Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com to check the Full Results (Live Statement - PDF)

Ayman Khlifat on Twitter @aymankkhlifat
Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com


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EURAUD: Expected To Fall To 1.4335

Wednesday, April 9, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat


EURAUD: Expected To Fall To 1.4335

The EUR/AUD is expected to fall to the target level 1.4335 in the near future. The top of this up channel formed when the pair reversed down from the resistance zone around 1.4950
targeting around 1.4335 next few days .














Aymanfxsignals Forex Performance results are updated for the period 1-1-2013 To 4-4-2014 .
You can send an email to Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com to check the Full Results (Live Statement - PDF)


Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat
Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com



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Further upside seen in $AUDUSD

Sunday, April 6, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat

 On the 1st April, the RBA reiterated (only with minor changes) its 'neutral' bias and opinion that "the most prudent course is likely to be a period of stability in interest rates". Consequently, with China stabilizing, Australia can further rely on exports to their largest trading partner. From a global perspective, with the USD not significantly gaining, as was highly anticipated, and from the prospects of Fed tightening, I suspect that the AUD/USD can climb to 0.9600 level before the RBA gets uncomfortable.Currently I continue to anticipate that the RBA will stand on the sidelines in 2014, before initializing to normalization rates in early 2015. However, should the upward trajectory of recent data continue, the RBA will be forced to act sooner than expected. 


My recommendation : Buy AUDUSD above 0.9205 with stop on a daily close below 0.9150 targeting 0.9388 and 0.9525











Aymanfxsignals Forex Performance results are updated for the period 1-1-2013 To 4-4-2014 .
You can send an email to Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com to check the Full Results (Live Statement - PDF)

Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat
Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com


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Aymanfxsignals Latest Forex Results

Friday, April 4, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat


Hello .

Aymanfxsignals Forex Performance results are updated Now From ( 1-1-2013 To 4-4-2014 ) ( 15 Months ).
You can send an email to Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com to check the Full Results (Live Statement - PDF)

You Can join my Live Signals & Trades ( @Aymanfxsignals , SMSs and Skype ) & All traders will get a special offer on sub for 6 or 12 months .


Best Regards


Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat
Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com




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AUD likely to experience further strength

Saturday, March 29, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat

Recent Australian economic data favour a hawkish bias :
  The last monetary policy from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) suggested a period of stability in interest rates, reducing the likelihood of further rate cuts. Furthermore, the recent economic improvements hint that the next move in rates will most likely be on the upside. Indeed, various leading indicators for unemployment signal significant improvements in the coming months, which would be earlier than the RBA currently expects. Furthermore, encouraging signs of a handover from mining-led demand growth to broader private demand growth could leave inflation close to the high of its 2-3% target. Meanwhile, the RBA is getting vocally worried about the housing market and the high level of household debt. Even though prudential tools could help, these would only be seen as a temporary solutions. As a result, there are clear risks that the RBA could start the tightening cycle earlier than the markets expect.

EUR/AUD exhibits a bearish head and shoulders :
   Looking at AUD crosses, the technical configuration in the last few months confirm risks of a further rise in AUD. Looking at EUR/AUD, the key support at 1.5031 has been broken, validating a 3 month bearish head and shoulders formation. The implied downside risk is 1.4229. As a result, a decline towards the key support area between 1.4218 (38.2% retracement) and 1.4051 is expected. Therefore, we would see any potential short-term bounce near the 200 day moving average as temporary. Resistances are given by 1.5161 (06/03/2014 low) and the declining trendline stemming from the recent lower high (around 1.5430). The head and shoulders also visible on AUD/USD, GBP/AUD and AUD/CHF favour a further decrease in the high number of short bets in the Australian dollar. 

To check the full forex performance results for the period 1/1/2013 - 21/3/2014 ( 15 Months ).
(Live Statement - PDF) contact my Email here ( Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com )

Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat



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I'm so grateful that I have you as a daughter. Happy birthday, sweetie!

Monday, March 24, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat


I'm so grateful that I have you as a daughter. Happy birthday, sweetie!



















Ayman Khlifat on Twitter @aymankkhlifat Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com



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Does the strong UK recovery hint at a imminent rate hike?

Sunday, March 23, 2014 Posted by Ayman Khlifat


The BoE likely to favour a pro-growth stance
            As UK unemployment is close to the threshold set by the Bank of England (BoE), the inflation outlook is expected to be crucial in the timing of an eventual start of the tightening cycle. Indeed, even though the recent upward growth revisions make the UK a credible contender for this year's title of fastest-growing economy in the G7, the growth breakdown is likely more important. Thus far, the majority of the recovery has come from household consumption, especially in the housing market, driving saving down. As a result, such a recovery is unsustainable if it is not associated with a recovery in manufacturing and exports. Given the remit of the BOE to also achieve strong, sustainable and balanced growth, low rates would strongly favour the rebalancing process, barring that inflation remains below its target.

Risks for higher inflation remain subdued
               Even though the housing market needs to be monitored, the risk for inflation seems biased to the downside. Indeed, even though the persistent poor productivity could lead to higher inflation should nominal wages increase (as "more money is chasing fewer goods"), it also acts as a strong drag for wage increases. Moreover, despite a decline in inflation,real wage growth remains negative thus far. Meanwhile, further fiscal consolidation should continue to represent headwinds for consumption, as the UK will continue to reduce its structural deficit. Given these risks to consumption, the BoE is unlikely to hike rates until a more balanced recovery is underway. In that respect, the recent developments show encouraging signs of a broadening recovery. However, as mentioned by the BoE minutes, there remains "some way to go" to ensure that the recovery is both balanced and sustainable. As a result, with inflation expectations favouring lower inflation than its 2.5% target in 18-24 months time, I see no hurry for the BoE to start raising rates.



Ayman Khlifat on Twitter @aymankkhlifat
Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com




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