Aymanfxsignals Forex Performance Results Are Updated For ( January/2016 )

Thursday, January 28, 2016 Posted by Ayman Khlifat 0 comments

Hello Traders!

Aymanfxsignals Forex Performance results are updated Now for ( January/2016 ) Live Statement (PDF). Also You can check my full results for ( 2013 , 2014 and 2015 ) send an email to Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com

You Can join my Live Signals & Trades ( @Aymanfxsignals , SMSs and Skype ) & All traders will get a special offer on sub for 6 or 12 months .

Ayman Khlifat On Twitter : Aymankkhlifat / Aymanfxsignals
Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com

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The USD index technical chart ,Daily Chart indicating upcoming bearish pressure

Sunday, January 17, 2016 Posted by Ayman Khlifat 0 comments

More updates to come on Twitter

Daily Chart

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What January means to financial markets and economies !

Saturday, January 16, 2016 Posted by Ayman Khlifat 0 comments

Month of January is a very powerful and predictive period, this month could lead to conclusions about the rest of the year. There is definitely some validity to January’s effects as well as some confusion. For example, the January Barometer and the January Effect are two completely different things. :

The January Barometer – As the S&P500 Goes in January, So Goes The Year. When the month of January records a gain, as measured by the S&P500 Index, history suggests that the rest of the year will serve as a benefactor, and finish in the black as well. Since 1950, this indicator has an incredible 88.7% accuracy ratio.

Down Januarys Serve as a Warning – According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, every down January for the S&P500 since 1950, without exception, preceded a new or extended bear market, flat market, or a 10% correction. 12 bear markets began, and ten continued into second years with poor Januarys. When the first month of the year has been down, the rest of the year followed with an average loss of 13.9%. In most years, these declines later provided excellent buying opportunities. For example, 2008 was the worst January on record and preceded the worst bear market since the Great Depression. But 2009 proved to be one of the greatest buying opportunities in American history.

First Five Days in January Indicator –  This one has a very nice track record as well. The last 40 UP first five days of the year have been followed by full-year gains 34 times for an 85% accuracy ratio. This includes 2012 which had a 1.8% rally in the first 5 days. The average gain for the first 39 of those years was 13.6%. It looks like 2012 will close up somewhere right around that number as well. The results are less reliable when the first 5 days in January are negative, showing just a 47.8% accuracy rate and an average gain of 0.2%. Going forward, I think it’s important to note that the S&P500 posted a gain for the first 5 days of the year in just 6 of the last 15 Post-Election Years.

The January Barometer Portfolio – The Standard & Poors top performing industries in January tend to outperform the S&P500 over the next 12 months. According to Sam Stovall, if on Feb. 1 you invested equally in the 3 sectors that posted the best returns in the month of January and held them until Feb. 1 of the following year, you would’ve received a compound rate of growth of 8% as compared with 6.6% for the S&P 500. If you bought the worst performers in January, you would’ve underperformed the market with a 5.5% return. Since 1970, the compound rate of growth for the 10 best-performing sub-industries based on their January performance was 14.4% as compared with 6.8% for the S&P 500, and 4% for the worst 10 sub-industries in the S&P 500 in that January. The best-performing sub-industries in January went on to beat the market in the subsequent months 69% of the time, so nearly 7 out of every 10 years. The worst performing groups outperformed the S&P only 38% of the time. This indicates to us that you’re better off sticking with the winners rather than the losers.

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$EURUSD Med-Term Setup

Thursday, January 14, 2016 Posted by Ayman Khlifat 0 comments

Many Members Of ECB Governing Council Said To Be ‘Sceptical’ About Need For Further Policy Action In N-Term ,So i think no action before next March .

On technical EURUSD breakout an important trend-line on the 4H chart , I bought it at 1.0890 with stop @1.07 target @1.1640 ( med-term trade ) with @Aymanfxsignals .

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2015 Aymanfxsignals Forex Performance results are updated

Friday, December 25, 2015 Posted by Ayman Khlifat 0 comments

Happy Holidays!

Aymanfxsignals Forex Performance results are updated Now for ( 2015 ) + ( 2013 and 2014 ) .
You can send an email to Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com to check the Full Results (Live Statement - PDF)

You Can join my Live Signals & Trades ( @Aymanfxsignals , SMSs and Skype ) & All traders will get a special offer on sub for 6 or 12 months .

Best Regards

Ayman Khlifat on Twitter : @Aymankkhlifat
Email : Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com
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I am Buying this range on $EURCAD with tight stop

Wednesday, October 7, 2015 Posted by Ayman Khlifat 0 comments

My entry @1.4662 stop @1.4470 target @1.50
Risk/Reward : 1/2.2

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$NZDUSD: Bearish Gartley Pattern

Monday, September 28, 2015 Posted by Ayman Khlifat 0 comments

Check the comments on the chart below .

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How to Profit Using the VIX Indicator

Saturday, September 19, 2015 Posted by Ayman Khlifat 0 comments

Investors are motivated by two things and two things only: fear and greed.

It may be as cliché as it gets, but it's just that simple.

More often than not, they turn quite bullish when they think a stock is headed higher and quite bearish when they fear that all is lost.

The trouble with this strategy is that, for most retail investors, it is exactly at these extremes in sentiment when they lose their shirts...

While conventional financial theory does suggest the idea that markets behave rationally, not accounting for the emotional aspect of the trade, this often leads to all of the wrong entry and exit points.

And believe me when I tell you this: It's hard to make any money on the Street when you're constantly getting either one or both of them wrong.

That's why successful technical analysts often rely on the VIX indicator to assess whether or not the current market sentiment is either excessively bullish or bearish in order to plot their next move.

Make Better Trades Using the Fear Gauge :

The VIX is one of the so-called contrarian indicators.

It is incredibly useful in determining whether the markets have reached an extreme position one way or the other. When that happens, it tends to be a sure sign that the markets are about to stage a reversal.

When a wide majority believes that one bet is such a sure thing, they pile on and chase after gains. Unfortunately for them, the market is usually ready to turn the other way by the time they jump into a position.

If "the crowd" is feeling very bullish, in other words, it is definitely time to think about getting bearish.

Smart investors simply use the VIX indicator to determine when to bet against them all. It's counter-intuitive for sure, but it works nearly all of the time — especially in volatile markets. And that's why the VIX indicator is a trader's best friend these days.

After all, in today's market there are definitely a lot of people chasing gains that already happened. There are also plenty of skittish investors fearing the end of quantitative easing and a market correction.

What Is the VIX Indicator?

Developed by the Chicago Board Options Exchange in 1993, the CBOE Volatility Index (Chicago Options: ^VIX) is one of the most widely accepted methods to gauge stock market volatility.

Using short-term, near-the-money call and put options, the index measures the implied volatility of S&P 500 Index options over the next 30-day period.

It is basically a derivative of a derivative. Because of that, it acts more like a market thermometer more than anything else. And just like a thermometer, there are specific numbers that tell the market's story.

A level below 20 is generally considered to be bearish, indicating that investors have become overly complacent. Meanwhile, with a reading of greater than 30, a high level of investor fear is implied, which is bullish from a contrarian point of view.

The smart thing to do then is to wait for peaks in the VIX above 30 and wait for the VIX to start to decline before placing your buy. As the volatility declines, stocks in general will rise and you can make big profits.

You see it time and time again. In fact, the old saying with the VIX is, "When the VIX is high, it's time to buy."

That's because when volatility is high and rising, that means the crowd is panicked. It leads to selling based on fear and quickly falling stock prices. That creates a short window where there are bargains in the market for moneymaking traders.

Here's a couple examples of how it works in the real world...

First up is a series of three classic reversals in the S&P 500 back in 2008. Each one of them successfully predicted by the VIX using its 200-day moving average (DMA) as the basis of each move.

At times, the VIX will break through the 200-day moving average and stay there, making the system invert. When this happens, the VIX will spike up to the 200-day moving average and then drop.

A perfect example of a crossover can be found back in 2010:

The inverted scenario was in full effect in the first half of 2013 as well. Every time the VIX breached the 200 day moving average, it quickly fell. The spikes were tied to drops in the S&P 500, which became attractive entry points as the market rebounded:

Note that the pattern may invert, but the VIX spikes represent a good time to jump into the market regardless of the pattern in play.
For smart and disciplined traders, each occasion was the equivalent of taking candy from a baby, simply by betting against the "wisdom" of the crowd.

You Can contact me to check my full trades and results for more than 22 months - Live Statement
On Aymanfxsignals@yahoo.com ,for further details Live Trade Ideas Intraday & Short-term

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